BOY CFN.SCOUT.com really sucked on picking the OU Mizzou gamePosted: October 28, 2006
Big 12 Game of the Week
Oklahoma (5-2) at Missouri (7-1) 12 PM EST ABC Saturday October 28th
Why to Watch: Sort of a poor man’s Big 12 title matchup, Missouri and Oklahoma each hold out title hopes. The Tigers, who are still unnoticed and underrated by most of the college football world, got over the tough loss to Texas A&M to throttle Kansas State last week. While they could use this win for more street cred, they can afford a loss and still win the North as long as they beat Nebraska next week and close out with wins over Iowa State and Kansas. The Sooners don’t have any margin for error needing to keep winning while hoping for Texas to lose twice. This has been a one-sided series going back to the old Big 8 days with the Sooners winning 27 of the last 30 meetings.
Why Oklahoma Might Win: The defense has finally turned up the heat. After being one of the slight disappointments over the first half of the season, and a huge problem when it came to getting to the quarterback. Fine, Middle Tennessee, Iowa State and Colorado are hardly juggernauts, but OU still kept the three to 12 points combined and kept Texas in relative check outside of a few big plays in the third quarter. The OU linebackers are fast enough to stay with the Missouri tight ends and snuff out the medium pass plays.
Why Missouri Might Win: Oklahoma is 5-0 at home, and 0-2 away from Memorial Stadium losing to Oregon and Texas. Outside of the loss to A&M, no one’s been close to beating Mizzou, and OU doesn’t quite have the offensive firepower to throw any curveballs at one of the Big 12’s top defenses. The back seven is tremendous at shutting down the short to midrange pass, and there’s no threat of OU going deep. Even though the Sooner O line has been a nice surprise, it’s not the type that’ll plow over the Tiger defensive front. In other words, the Sooners might not be able to control the clock or the tempo.
Who to Watch: Without Adrian Peterson, for the Sooners to beat the better teams they have to get rock-solid performances from everyone else, and there has to be some threat of the home run. Paul Thompson completed 17 of 26 passes against Colorado, but he threw nothing down the field keeping to a conservative, very, very short passing game. Allen Patrick might have rushed for 110 yards, but it took 35 carries to do it. Missouri’s defense, even without top pass rushing end Brian Smith, who’s out with a hip injury, is way too good, and the offense is way too balanced for OU to not open things up a bit. If WR Malcolm Kelly doesn’t make several big plays, OU is probably going to lose, and lose big.What Will Happen: Here’s the statement game Missouri has been looking for. Even though this isn’t the same OU without Adrian Peterson, it’s still a legitimate top 20, possibly top 15, team with the talent and attitude to pull off the tough road win. Mizzou’s offensive line will make sure that doesn’t happen.
CFN Prediction: Missouri .27 … Oklahoma 20 .. Line: Missouri -2.5
Must See Rating: (5 skip the birth of your first born – 1 Flicka) … 4